Han Dong-hoon at 14% and Oh Se-hoon at 13.7% in the Next Presidential Race… Conservative Voters Had a Different Opinion
Preference Survey on "Next Presidential Candidates" Among 8 Broadly Conservative Figures
Han Dong-hoon 14.0%, Oh Se-hoon 13.7%, Jang Dong-hyuk 11.7%
Across the progressive spectrum: Kim Min-seok at 9.5%, Kang Hoon-sik at 8.3%, etc.
[E-Daily Reporter KWON HYE-ME ] A public opinion poll has shown that among potential presidential candidates, Han Dong-hoon, an independent lawmaker, and Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon are the top choices in the broader conservative camp, while Kim Min-seok, leader of the Democratic Party of Korea, and Kang Hoon-sik, former Chief of Staff to the President, are the top choices in the broader progressive camp.
Independent lawmaker Han Dong-hoon (left) and Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon. (Photo = Yonhap News) According to a survey conducted by Hangil Research on the 27th, commissioned by KNA25 and Polinews, in a poll of potential presidential candidates among eight figures from the broader conservative camp, Rep. Han Dong-hoon received 14.0%, Mayor Oh Se-hoon 13.7%, and People Power Party Chairman Jang Dong-hyuk 11.7%.
They were followed by Rep. Lee Jin-sook of the People Power Party at 7.3%, former Rep. Yoo Seung-min at 5.7%, former presidential candidate Kim Moon-soo at 4.5%, Rep. Ahn Cheol-soo at 3.0%, and former Reform Party Chairman Lee Jun-seok at 2.4%. Responses of “no preferred candidate” accounted for 21.0%, while “other/don’t know” accounted for 16.7%.
Preferences varied depending on political party affiliation and political orientation. Among People Power Party supporters, Representative Jang recorded 24.1%, Mayor Oh 23.6%, and Representative Han 17.8%.
In contrast, among centrist voters, Rep. Han received the highest support at 16.6%, followed by Mayor Oh at 14.0% and Chairman Jang at 11.2%.
By region, in Seoul, Mayor Oh recorded 16.8%, Representative Han 11.7%, and Chairman Jang 11.6%. In Daegu and North Gyeongsang Province, Mayor Oh also had the highest support at 23.4%, followed by Representative Han at 18.8% and Chairman Jang at 14.9%.
Kim Min-seok, leader of the Democratic Party of Korea (left), and Kang Hoon-sik, former Chief of Staff to the President. (Photo: Yonhap News) In a separate survey of seven figures from the broader progressive camp, Chairman Kim posted the highest figure at 9.5%. He was followed by former Chief of Staff Kang at 8.3%, Democratic Party Rep. Jeong Cheong-rae at 7.7%, and former Prime Minister Kim Bu-gyeom at 7.5%.
Former Democratic Party Chairman Song Young-gil and former Jo Kuk Innovation Party Chairman Cho Kuk each received 5.6%, while Gyeonggi Province Governor Choo Mi-ae received 5.0%.
Among Democratic Party supporters, Chairman Kim received 20.6%, former Chief of Staff Kang 13.7%, and Rep. Jeong 13.0%. In contrast, among respondents with progressive leanings, former Chief of Staff Kang received 13.1%, Chairman Kim 13.0%, and Rep. Jeong 12.3%, showing a very close margin.
Among centrist voters, Chairman Kim was the only candidate to reach double digits with 10.6%, followed by former Chief of Staff Kang at 7.1%, Rep. Jeong at 6.9%, and former Prime Minister Kim at 6.8%.
Notably, among figures in the broader progressive camp, 24.5% of respondents said they had “no preference,” 17.9% said they “didn’t know,” and 8.4% selected “other.”
However, this survey used separate questions presenting a list of candidates from the broader conservative and broader progressive camps, respectively; it is not a consolidated presidential candidate preference survey that directly compares the figures of figures from both camps.
Meanwhile, this survey was conducted by Hangil Research on the 25th and 26th using an automated response system (ARS) via landline and mobile phones, targeting 1,002 men and women nationwide aged 18 and older. The breakdown was 95.6% mobile and 4.4% landline, with a margin of error of ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level.
Further details can be found on the National Election Survey Deliberation Commission’s website.
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