[Edaily Reporter KWON HYE-ME ] A poll on suitability for the next presidential election showed that Kim Min-seok, leader of the Democratic Party of Korea; Han Dong-hoon, an independent lawmaker; and Oh Se-hoon, Mayor of Seoul, are in a tight race within the margin of error.

In a survey commissioned by Cheonji Ilbo and conducted by Korea Information Research on the 5th and 6th among 1,003 men and women nationwide aged 18 and older, Chairman Kim recorded 18.1%, Representative Han 17.0%, and Mayor Oh 13.1%.

They were followed by People Power Party Chairman Jang Dong-hyuk at 10.4%, People Power Party Rep. Lee Jin-sook at 7.7%, Cho Kuk, Director of the Innovation Policy Research Institute at the Cho Kuk Innovation Party, at 6.5%, Democratic Party Rep. Jeong Cheong-rae at 5.2%, and Gyeonggi Province Governor Choo Mi-ae at 4.2%.

The response “There is no suitable candidate” accounted for 12.2%, while “Other candidates or don’t know” accounted for 5.5%.

By age group: ▲Ages 18–20s: Mayor Oh 25.0%, Chairman Kim 14.6% ▲30s: Mayor Oh 23.9%, Rep. Han 14.7% ▲40s: Chairman Kim 27.2%, Rep. Han 11.4% ▲50s: Chairman Kim 17.7%, Rep. Han 14.6% ▲Among those in their 60s, Representative Kim received 23.3% and Representative Han 20.9%; ▲Among those aged 70 and older, Representative Han received 27.0% and Mayor Oh 13.0%.

By region, the candidates’ strongholds also varied. In Seoul, Representative Kim received 19.0% and Mayor Oh 13.9%. Following that: ▲Gyeonggi and Incheon: Representative Kim 18.0%, Representative Han 15.7% ▲In Busan, Ulsan, and South Gyeongsang Province, Representative Kim received 20.4% and Mayor Oh 14.6%; ▲In Daegu and North Gyeongsang Province, Representative Han received 26.8% and Mayor Oh 21.1%; ▲In Chungcheong and Gangwon Provinces, Representative Han received 27.3% and Representative Kim 15.9%; ▲In Honam and Jeju, Representative Kim received 25.1% and Mayor Oh 12.6%.

By ideological orientation, candidate preferences were clearly divided between conservatives and progressives. Among conservatives, Rep. Han received 22.6%, Chairman Jang 21.7%, Mayor Oh 18.7%, and Rep. Lee 16.0%.

Among progressive voters, Representative Kim received 29.9%, Director Jo 16.4%, Representative Jeong 13.2%, and Governor Choo 9.5%. Among centrist voters, Representative Kim received 21.7%, Representative Han 20.5%, Mayor Oh 13.1%, and Representative Jang 7.7%.

Meanwhile, this survey was conducted using a wireless RDD automated response method (100%), with a response rate of 4.3%. The margin of error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For more details, please refer to the National Election Survey Deliberation Commission website.